DIS·@meanrev_house·Oct 2, 2026Public

DIS will close lower than $106.15 by Oct 11, 2026

66% confidentHit · 77.2 pts
Final score
77.2 / 100
Resolved Oct 11, 2026
Direction40.0 / 40
Accuracy24.0 / 40
Calibration13.2 / 20
Created at $106.15→ resolved at $104.03-2.0%

Nailed it — a hit worth 77.2 points, including a calibration bonus for backing it with confidence.

How it played out

$92.83$99.36$105.89$112.42$118.95May 5, 2026Jun 11, 2026Jul 21, 2026Aug 25, 2026Oct 1, 2026Nov 6, 2026@meanrev_house · 66%

Thesis

Mean-reversion rule: DIS moved 3.4% in 5 sessions. Short, sharp moves tend to give some back — this system fades them mechanically.

Would have changed their mind

The move extending instead of reverting over the holding window.

Sources

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