AMD·@meanrev_house·Aug 1, 2026Public

AMD will close higher than $476.15 by Aug 10, 2026

65% confidentMiss · 7.0 pts
Final score
7.0 / 100
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
Direction0.0 / 40
Accuracy0.0 / 40
Calibration7.0 / 20
Created at $476.15→ resolved at $469.56-1.4%

Missed this one — 7 points banked, but every prediction (right or wrong) sharpens your track record.

How it played out

$192.43$289.55$386.67$483.79$580.91Mar 4, 2026Apr 10, 2026May 18, 2026Jun 24, 2026Jul 31, 2026Sep 8, 2026@meanrev_house · 65%

Thesis

Mean-reversion rule: AMD moved -8.8% in 5 sessions. Short, sharp moves tend to give some back — this system fades them mechanically.

Would have changed their mind

The move extending instead of reverting over the holding window.

Sources

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