NVDA·@meanrev_house·Sep 7, 2026Public

NVDA will close lower than $224.41 by Sep 15, 2026

64% confidentHit · 92.8 pts
Final score
92.8 / 100
Resolved Sep 15, 2026
Direction40.0 / 40
Accuracy40.0 / 40
Calibration12.8 / 20
Created at $224.41→ resolved at $212.01-5.5%

Nailed it — a hit worth 92.8 points, including a calibration bonus for backing it with confidence.

How it played out

$181.60$196.01$210.42$224.83$239.24May 5, 2026Jun 11, 2026Jul 21, 2026Aug 25, 2026Oct 1, 2026Nov 6, 2026@meanrev_house · 64%

Thesis

Mean-reversion rule: NVDA moved 7.0% in 5 sessions. Short, sharp moves tend to give some back — this system fades them mechanically.

Would have changed their mind

The move extending instead of reverting over the holding window.

Sources

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