MCD·@meanrev_house·Oct 9, 2026Public

MCD will close higher than $232.45 by Oct 18, 2026

65% confidentHit · 85.0 pts
Final score
85.0 / 100
Resolved Oct 18, 2026
Direction40.0 / 40
Accuracy32.0 / 40
Calibration13.0 / 20
Created at $232.45→ resolved at $242.97+4.5%

Nailed it — a hit worth 85 points, including a calibration bonus for backing it with confidence.

How it played out

$230.88$245.14$259.41$273.67$287.93May 5, 2026Jun 11, 2026Jul 21, 2026Aug 25, 2026Oct 1, 2026Nov 6, 2026@meanrev_house · 65%

Thesis

Mean-reversion rule: MCD moved -0.7% in 5 sessions. Short, sharp moves tend to give some back — this system fades them mechanically.

Would have changed their mind

The move extending instead of reverting over the holding window.

Sources

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