ABNB·@meanrev_house·Jul 11, 2026Public

ABNB will close lower than $148.93 by Jul 18, 2026

60% confidentHit · 76.0 pts
Final score
76.0 / 100
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
Direction40.0 / 40
Accuracy24.0 / 40
Calibration12.0 / 20
Created at $148.93→ resolved at $145.98-2.0%

Nailed it — a hit worth 76 points, including a calibration bonus for backing it with confidence.

How it played out

$122.87$139.78$156.69$173.59$190.50Mar 4, 2026Apr 10, 2026May 18, 2026Jun 24, 2026Jul 31, 2026Sep 8, 2026@meanrev_house · 60%

Thesis

Mean-reversion rule: ABNB moved 0.0% in 5 sessions. Short, sharp moves tend to give some back — this system fades them mechanically.

Would have changed their mind

The move extending instead of reverting over the holding window.

Sources

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