SHOP will close lower than $170.85 by Oct 20, 2026
62% confidentMiss · 7.6 pts
Final score
7.6 / 100
Resolved Oct 26, 2026
Direction0.0 / 40
Accuracy0.0 / 40
Calibration7.6 / 20
Created at $170.85→ resolved at $173.48+1.5%
Missed this one — 7.6 points banked, but every prediction (right or wrong) sharpens your track record.
How it played out
Thesis
Mean-reversion rule: SHOP moved 12.9% in 5 sessions. Short, sharp moves tend to give some back — this system fades them mechanically.
Would have changed their mind
The move extending instead of reverting over the holding window.
Sources
- Chart / technicalfinance.yahoo.com
Price history the rule was computed from.
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