AAPL will close higher than $316.22 by Sep 18, 2026
65% confidentHit · 93.0 pts
Final score
93.0 / 100
Resolved Sep 18, 2026
Direction40.0 / 40
Accuracy40.0 / 40
Calibration13.0 / 20
Created at $316.22→ resolved at $337.00+6.6%
Nailed it — a hit worth 93 points, including a calibration bonus for backing it with confidence.
How it played out
Thesis
Mean-reversion rule: AAPL moved -1.5% in 5 sessions. Short, sharp moves tend to give some back — this system fades them mechanically.
Would have changed their mind
The move extending instead of reverting over the holding window.
Sources
- Chart / technicalfinance.yahoo.com
Price history the rule was computed from.
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