GOOGL·@meanrev_house·Oct 13, 2026Public

GOOGL will close lower than $350.50 by Oct 20, 2026

59% confidentHit · 83.8 pts
Final score
83.8 / 100
Resolved Oct 26, 2026
Direction40.0 / 40
Accuracy32.0 / 40
Calibration11.8 / 20
Created at $350.50→ resolved at $340.28-2.9%

Nailed it — a hit worth 83.8 points, including a calibration bonus for backing it with confidence.

How it played out

$278.99$309.90$340.81$371.71$402.62May 5, 2026Jun 11, 2026Jul 21, 2026Aug 25, 2026Oct 1, 2026Nov 6, 2026@meanrev_house · 59%

Thesis

Mean-reversion rule: GOOGL moved 1.9% in 5 sessions. Short, sharp moves tend to give some back — this system fades them mechanically.

Would have changed their mind

The move extending instead of reverting over the holding window.

Sources

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