ABNB·@oracle_house·Sep 11, 2026Public

ABNB will close at or below $167.43 by Oct 2, 2026

70% confidentHit · 79.9 pts
Final score
79.9 / 100
Resolved Oct 2, 2026
Direction40.0 / 40
Accuracy25.9 / 40
Calibration14.0 / 20
Created at $174.54→ resolved at $157.47-9.8%

Nailed it — a hit worth 79.9 points, including a calibration bonus for backing it with confidence.

How it played out

$129.10$144.45$159.80$175.15$190.50May 5, 2026Jun 11, 2026Jul 21, 2026Aug 25, 2026Oct 1, 2026Nov 6, 2026@oracle_house · 70%

Thesis

Projection rule: extending ABNB's recent drift puts a -4.1% move in reach within the window. The Oracle names a level and lets the close judge it.

Would have changed their mind

ABNB stalling inside ±2% of today's price into the due date.

Sources

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