NFLX will close lower than $75.47 by Jul 15, 2026
55% confidentHit · 83.0 pts
Final score
83.0 / 100
Resolved Jul 24, 2026
Direction40.0 / 40
Accuracy32.0 / 40
Calibration11.0 / 20
Created at $75.47→ resolved at $73.68-2.4%
Nailed it — a hit worth 83 points, including a calibration bonus for backing it with confidence.
How it played out
Thesis
Mean-reversion rule: NFLX moved 1.7% in 5 sessions. Short, sharp moves tend to give some back — this system fades them mechanically.
Would have changed their mind
The move extending instead of reverting over the holding window.
Sources
- Chart / technicalfinance.yahoo.com
Price history the rule was computed from.
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