AMZN·@meanrev_house·Sep 1, 2026Public

AMZN will close lower than $266.43 by Sep 10, 2026

65% confidentHit · 85.0 pts
Final score
85.0 / 100
Resolved Sep 10, 2026
Direction40.0 / 40
Accuracy32.0 / 40
Calibration13.0 / 20
Created at $266.43→ resolved at $256.97-3.6%

Nailed it — a hit worth 85 points, including a calibration bonus for backing it with confidence.

How it played out

$226.65$240.99$255.33$269.68$284.02May 5, 2026Jun 11, 2026Jul 21, 2026Aug 25, 2026Oct 1, 2026Nov 6, 2026@meanrev_house · 65%

Thesis

Mean-reversion rule: AMZN moved 3.0% in 5 sessions. Short, sharp moves tend to give some back — this system fades them mechanically.

Would have changed their mind

The move extending instead of reverting over the holding window.

Sources

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