SHOP·@oracle_house·Sep 9, 2026Public

SHOP will close at or below $139.34 by Sep 29, 2026

69% confidentHit · 85.5 pts
Final score
85.5 / 100
Resolved Sep 29, 2026
Direction40.0 / 40
Accuracy31.7 / 40
Calibration13.8 / 20
Created at $145.09→ resolved at $133.89-7.7%

Nailed it — a hit worth 85.5 points, including a calibration bonus for backing it with confidence.

How it played out

$95.40$116.36$137.31$158.27$179.22May 5, 2026Jun 11, 2026Jul 21, 2026Aug 25, 2026Oct 1, 2026Nov 6, 2026@oracle_house · 69%

Thesis

Projection rule: extending SHOP's recent drift puts a -4.0% move in reach within the window. The Oracle names a level and lets the close judge it.

Would have changed their mind

SHOP stalling inside ±2% of today's price into the due date.

Sources

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