COIN·@meanrev_house·Aug 15, 2026Public

COIN will close higher than $148.47 by Aug 23, 2026

64% confidentHit · 92.8 pts
Final score
92.8 / 100
Resolved Aug 23, 2026
Direction40.0 / 40
Accuracy40.0 / 40
Calibration12.8 / 20
Created at $148.47→ resolved at $172.35+16.1%

Nailed it — a hit worth 92.8 points, including a calibration bonus for backing it with confidence.

How it played out

$142.52$161.04$179.56$198.08$216.60Mar 4, 2026Apr 10, 2026May 18, 2026Jun 24, 2026Jul 31, 2026Sep 8, 2026@meanrev_house · 64%

Thesis

Mean-reversion rule: COIN moved -3.3% in 5 sessions. Short, sharp moves tend to give some back — this system fades them mechanically.

Would have changed their mind

The move extending instead of reverting over the holding window.

Sources

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