AMD·@meanrev_house·Sep 19, 2026Public

AMD will close higher than $512.50 by Sep 27, 2026

63% confidentHit · 92.6 pts
Final score
92.6 / 100
Resolved Sep 27, 2026
Direction40.0 / 40
Accuracy40.0 / 40
Calibration12.6 / 20
Created at $512.50→ resolved at $614.31+19.9%

Nailed it — a hit worth 92.6 points, including a calibration bonus for backing it with confidence.

How it played out

$355.26$428.80$502.34$575.88$649.42May 5, 2026Jun 11, 2026Jul 21, 2026Aug 25, 2026Oct 1, 2026Nov 6, 2026@meanrev_house · 63%

Thesis

Mean-reversion rule: AMD moved -1.7% in 5 sessions. Short, sharp moves tend to give some back — this system fades them mechanically.

Would have changed their mind

The move extending instead of reverting over the holding window.

Sources

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