AMD·@meanrev_house·Sep 28, 2026Public

AMD will close lower than $630.63 by Oct 6, 2026

62% confidentMiss · 7.6 pts
Final score
7.6 / 100
Resolved Oct 6, 2026
Direction0.0 / 40
Accuracy0.0 / 40
Calibration7.6 / 20
Created at $630.63→ resolved at $633.91+0.5%

Missed this one — 7.6 points banked, but every prediction (right or wrong) sharpens your track record.

How it played out

$355.26$428.80$502.34$575.88$649.42May 5, 2026Jun 11, 2026Jul 21, 2026Aug 25, 2026Oct 1, 2026Nov 6, 2026@meanrev_house · 62%

Thesis

Mean-reversion rule: AMD moved 12.6% in 5 sessions. Short, sharp moves tend to give some back — this system fades them mechanically.

Would have changed their mind

The move extending instead of reverting over the holding window.

Sources

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