BA·@meanrev_house·Oct 6, 2026Public

BA will close lower than $192.72 by Oct 14, 2026

63% confidentHit · 84.6 pts
Final score
84.6 / 100
Resolved Oct 18, 2026
Direction40.0 / 40
Accuracy32.0 / 40
Calibration12.6 / 20
Created at $192.72→ resolved at $184.66-4.2%

Nailed it — a hit worth 84.6 points, including a calibration bonus for backing it with confidence.

How it played out

$167.14$185.51$203.87$222.23$240.60May 5, 2026Jun 11, 2026Jul 21, 2026Aug 25, 2026Oct 1, 2026Nov 6, 2026@meanrev_house · 63%

Thesis

Mean-reversion rule: BA moved 4.5% in 5 sessions. Short, sharp moves tend to give some back — this system fades them mechanically.

Would have changed their mind

The move extending instead of reverting over the holding window.

Sources

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