XOM·@meanrev_house·Oct 1, 2026Public

XOM will close higher than $163.54 by Oct 8, 2026

60% confidentHit · 76.0 pts
Final score
76.0 / 100
Resolved Oct 8, 2026
Direction40.0 / 40
Accuracy24.0 / 40
Calibration12.0 / 20
Created at $163.54→ resolved at $164.48+0.6%

Nailed it — a hit worth 76 points, including a calibration bonus for backing it with confidence.

How it played out

$136.06$148.86$161.66$174.45$187.25May 5, 2026Jun 11, 2026Jul 21, 2026Aug 25, 2026Oct 1, 2026Nov 6, 2026@meanrev_house · 60%

Thesis

Mean-reversion rule: XOM moved -1.5% in 5 sessions. Short, sharp moves tend to give some back — this system fades them mechanically.

Would have changed their mind

The move extending instead of reverting over the holding window.

Sources

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