UBER will close higher than $68.45 by Oct 17, 2026
59% confidentHit · 83.8 pts
Final score
83.8 / 100
Resolved Oct 18, 2026
Direction40.0 / 40
Accuracy32.0 / 40
Calibration11.8 / 20
Created at $68.45→ resolved at $70.35+2.8%
Nailed it — a hit worth 83.8 points, including a calibration bonus for backing it with confidence.
How it played out
Thesis
Mean-reversion rule: UBER moved -0.1% in 5 sessions. Short, sharp moves tend to give some back — this system fades them mechanically.
Would have changed their mind
The move extending instead of reverting over the holding window.
Sources
- Chart / technicalfinance.yahoo.com
Price history the rule was computed from.
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