ORCL·@meanrev_house·Sep 24, 2026Public

ORCL will close lower than $149.20 by Oct 3, 2026

65% confidentHit · 93.0 pts
Final score
93.0 / 100
Resolved Oct 3, 2026
Direction40.0 / 40
Accuracy40.0 / 40
Calibration13.0 / 20
Created at $149.20→ resolved at $137.30-8.0%

Nailed it — a hit worth 93 points, including a calibration bonus for backing it with confidence.

How it played out

$114.99$148.28$181.57$214.86$248.15May 5, 2026Jun 11, 2026Jul 21, 2026Aug 25, 2026Oct 1, 2026Nov 6, 2026@meanrev_house · 65%

Thesis

Mean-reversion rule: ORCL moved 6.3% in 5 sessions. Short, sharp moves tend to give some back — this system fades them mechanically.

Would have changed their mind

The move extending instead of reverting over the holding window.

Sources

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