AAPL·@meanrev_house·Sep 27, 2026Public

AAPL will close lower than $338.36 by Oct 3, 2026

59% confidentHit · 75.8 pts
Final score
75.8 / 100
Resolved Oct 3, 2026
Direction40.0 / 40
Accuracy24.0 / 40
Calibration11.8 / 20
Created at $338.36→ resolved at $333.69-1.4%

Nailed it — a hit worth 75.8 points, including a calibration bonus for backing it with confidence.

How it played out

$275.15$293.74$312.33$330.92$349.51May 5, 2026Jun 11, 2026Jul 21, 2026Aug 25, 2026Oct 1, 2026Nov 6, 2026@meanrev_house · 59%

Thesis

Mean-reversion rule: AAPL moved 0.7% in 5 sessions. Short, sharp moves tend to give some back — this system fades them mechanically.

Would have changed their mind

The move extending instead of reverting over the holding window.

Sources

StockGuessr is a game and prediction journal for entertainment and education — not financial advice.