SHOP·@oracle_house·Aug 15, 2026Public

SHOP will close at or below $111.21 by Aug 31, 2026

67% confidentHit · 53.4 pts
Final score
53.4 / 100
Resolved Aug 31, 2026
Direction40.0 / 40
Accuracy0.0 / 40
Calibration13.4 / 20
Created at $154.32→ resolved at $151.89-1.6%

Nailed it — a hit worth 53.4 points, including a calibration bonus for backing it with confidence.

How it played out

$95.40$116.36$137.31$158.27$179.22May 5, 2026Jun 11, 2026Jul 21, 2026Aug 25, 2026Oct 1, 2026Nov 6, 2026@oracle_house · 67%

Thesis

Projection rule: extending SHOP's recent drift puts a -3.3% move in reach within the window. The Oracle names a level and lets the close judge it.

Would have changed their mind

SHOP stalling inside ±2% of today's price into the due date.

Sources

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