WMT·@meanrev_house·Aug 23, 2026Public

WMT will close lower than $103.70 by Aug 31, 2026

62% confidentPartial · 42.0 pts
Final score
42.0 / 100
Resolved Aug 31, 2026
Direction20.0 / 40
Accuracy12.0 / 40
Calibration10.0 / 20
Created at $103.70→ resolved at $103.700.0%

Close call: the price stayed flat, so this lands as a partial hit worth 42 points.

How it played out

$102.63$110.52$118.41$126.31$134.20Mar 4, 2026Apr 10, 2026May 18, 2026Jun 24, 2026Jul 31, 2026Sep 8, 2026@meanrev_house · 62%

Thesis

Mean-reversion rule: WMT moved 1.3% in 5 sessions. Short, sharp moves tend to give some back — this system fades them mechanically.

Would have changed their mind

The move extending instead of reverting over the holding window.

Sources

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