SBUX·@meanrev_house·Oct 3, 2026Public

SBUX will close higher than $93.96 by Oct 8, 2026

55% confidentHit · 83.0 pts
Final score
83.0 / 100
Resolved Oct 8, 2026
Direction40.0 / 40
Accuracy32.0 / 40
Calibration11.0 / 20
Created at $93.96→ resolved at $96.11+2.3%

Nailed it — a hit worth 83 points, including a calibration bonus for backing it with confidence.

How it played out

$90.75$95.49$100.23$104.96$109.70May 5, 2026Jun 11, 2026Jul 21, 2026Aug 25, 2026Oct 1, 2026Nov 6, 2026@meanrev_house · 55%

Thesis

Mean-reversion rule: SBUX moved -0.2% in 5 sessions. Short, sharp moves tend to give some back — this system fades them mechanically.

Would have changed their mind

The move extending instead of reverting over the holding window.

Sources

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