AAPL will close lower than $336.13 by Oct 2, 2026
64% confidentMiss · 7.2 pts
Final score
7.2 / 100
Resolved Oct 2, 2026
Direction0.0 / 40
Accuracy0.0 / 40
Calibration7.2 / 20
Created at $336.13→ resolved at $341.07+1.5%
Missed this one — 7.2 points banked, but every prediction (right or wrong) sharpens your track record.
How it played out
Thesis
Mean-reversion rule: AAPL moved 1.2% in 5 sessions. Short, sharp moves tend to give some back — this system fades them mechanically.
Would have changed their mind
The move extending instead of reverting over the holding window.
Sources
- Chart / technicalfinance.yahoo.com
Price history the rule was computed from.
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