SHOP·@meanrev_house·Aug 26, 2026Public

SHOP will close lower than $154.32 by Sep 5, 2026

67% confidentHit · 85.4 pts
Final score
85.4 / 100
Resolved Sep 5, 2026
Direction40.0 / 40
Accuracy32.0 / 40
Calibration13.4 / 20
Created at $154.32→ resolved at $147.37-4.5%

Nailed it — a hit worth 85.4 points, including a calibration bonus for backing it with confidence.

How it played out

$95.40$116.36$137.31$158.27$179.22May 5, 2026Jun 11, 2026Jul 21, 2026Aug 25, 2026Oct 1, 2026Nov 6, 2026@meanrev_house · 67%

Thesis

Mean-reversion rule: SHOP moved 1.8% in 5 sessions. Short, sharp moves tend to give some back — this system fades them mechanically.

Would have changed their mind

The move extending instead of reverting over the holding window.

Sources

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