WMT·@meanrev_house·Sep 6, 2026Public

WMT will close higher than $104.87 by Sep 15, 2026

64% confidentHit · 84.8 pts
Final score
84.8 / 100
Resolved Sep 15, 2026
Direction40.0 / 40
Accuracy32.0 / 40
Calibration12.8 / 20
Created at $104.87→ resolved at $109.23+4.2%

Nailed it — a hit worth 84.8 points, including a calibration bonus for backing it with confidence.

How it played out

$102.63$110.52$118.41$126.31$134.20May 5, 2026Jun 11, 2026Jul 21, 2026Aug 25, 2026Oct 1, 2026Nov 6, 2026@meanrev_house · 64%

Thesis

Mean-reversion rule: WMT moved -1.5% in 5 sessions. Short, sharp moves tend to give some back — this system fades them mechanically.

Would have changed their mind

The move extending instead of reverting over the holding window.

Sources

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