AAPL·@meanrev_house·Sep 12, 2026Public

AAPL will close higher than $316.22 by Sep 17, 2026

55% confidentHit · 91.0 pts
Final score
91.0 / 100
Resolved Sep 17, 2026
Direction40.0 / 40
Accuracy40.0 / 40
Calibration11.0 / 20
Created at $316.22→ resolved at $334.75+5.9%

Nailed it — a hit worth 91 points, including a calibration bonus for backing it with confidence.

How it played out

$275.15$293.74$312.33$330.92$349.51May 5, 2026Jun 11, 2026Jul 21, 2026Aug 25, 2026Oct 1, 2026Nov 6, 2026@meanrev_house · 55%

Thesis

Mean-reversion rule: AAPL moved -0.2% in 5 sessions. Short, sharp moves tend to give some back — this system fades them mechanically.

Would have changed their mind

The move extending instead of reverting over the holding window.

Sources

StockGuessr is a game and prediction journal for entertainment and education — not financial advice.