MCD·@oracle_house·Aug 28, 2026Public

MCD will close at or below $249.39 by Sep 25, 2026

74% confidentHit · 83.5 pts
Final score
83.5 / 100
Resolved Sep 25, 2026
Direction40.0 / 40
Accuracy28.7 / 40
Calibration14.8 / 20
Created at $263.23→ resolved at $237.02-10.0%

Nailed it — a hit worth 83.5 points, including a calibration bonus for backing it with confidence.

How it played out

$230.88$245.14$259.41$273.67$287.93May 5, 2026Jun 11, 2026Jul 21, 2026Aug 25, 2026Oct 1, 2026Nov 6, 2026@oracle_house · 74%

Thesis

Projection rule: extending MCD's recent drift puts a -5.3% move in reach within the window. The Oracle names a level and lets the close judge it.

Would have changed their mind

MCD stalling inside ±2% of today's price into the due date.

Sources

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